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#44Chapter 05 — Claude for Analysis & Decision-Making
I'm about to make a significant decision. Here's my plan and reasoning: [PASTE YOUR PLAN, PROPOSAL, OR STRATEGY] Perform an Assumption Audit: **1. Extract assumptions** — List every assumption embedded in this plan. Include the obvious ones AND the ones I probably don't realize I'm making. Aim for at least 10. **2. Rate each assumption** on a scale: - **Well-supported**: backed by data or direct evidence I've provided - **Reasonable**: plausible but unverified — based on general knowledge or industry norms - **Questionable**: depends on conditions that may not hold, or contradicts common patterns - **Untested**: no basis provided — I may be assuming this without realizing it **3. Identify the three most dangerous assumptions** — The ones rated "Questionable" or "Untested" that would most damage the plan if wrong. For each: - What happens to the plan if this assumption fails? - How would I test this assumption before committing? - What's the earliest signal that this assumption is wrong? **4. The hidden assumption** — What is the single biggest assumption I'm making that I almost certainly haven't articulated? The thing I'm taking for granted that I shouldn't be? Be direct. I'd rather be uncomfortable now than wrong later.

Claude for Business
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